During August, the market reached new all-time highs, up 1.7% excluding dividends and 2% with dividends included. The total return, including dividends, has been nearly 17% during the past year-to-date. US Fed Chair Powell’s comments at the Jackson Hole conference were perceived to be dovish, suggesting interest rates will be going lower, provided impetus to share market returns.

S&P ASX 200 Net Total Return Accumulation Index (1 Year)

Index Performance

Following is a summary of various indices since 1994:

  • 11.1% p.a.           : US Shares                          : S&P 500 Total Return Index in AUD)
  • 9.10% p.a.           : Aust Shares                      : S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Total Return Index)
  • 8.20% p.a.           : Intl. Shares                       : MSCI World ex-Aust. Total Return Index AUD Index)
  • 7.80% p.a.           : Aust Listed Property     : S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Total Return Index
  • 5.60% p.a.           : Aust Bonds                       : Bloomberg AusBond Composite 0+ Yr Index
  • 4.2% p.a.             : Cash                                    : Bloomberg AusBond Bank Bill Index
  • 2.7% p.a.             : CPI                                       : ABS Consumer Price Index

Source: Vanguard

US stock market has risen 11.1% pa, better than the Australian domestic market, up 9.1% pa. The US market outperformance is driven largely by the mega-cap technology companies which make up 31% of the index. The Australia index has outperformed many other indexes, including other international shares, up 8.2%. Other asset classes include Australian listed property, up 7.8% pa, Australian bonds up 5.6% pa, and cash paying 4.2% pa.

US S&P 500 – TOP 10 HOLDINGS (by weight) (%)

APPLE INC 6.88%
MICROSOFT CORP 6.68%
NVIDIA CORP 6.19%
AMAZON COM INC 3.68%
ALPHABET INC 3.99%
META PLATFORMS INC 2.24%
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY 1.71%
BROADCOM INC 1.50%
TESLA INC 1.38%
   
Total of Portfolio 34.25%

Reporting Season Comment

Earnings results to date have been fairly evenly spread between ‘beats’ and ‘misses’, however, company management ‘guidance’ has been conservative, continuing to reset earnings expectations a little lower for the next period. Please contact your adviser at Leyland Private Asset Management if you have any questions regarding reporting season.

Alex Leyland

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